General Sports Water Cooler

whoops - kenpom is 20

Glockner has said that two losses have cost them 20-30 spots. I believe both losses they were missing a player or two.

Illinois State vs Wichita State - The Shockers already have four Valley losses and their profile is rapidly weakening after a three game losing streak. A home loss to ISU would not be good for them.

Ilinois vs Northwestern - Ilinois has enough big wins that 8 or 9 conference wins probably does it for them. But they've already lost at home to Northwestern, and a loss here drops them to 5-8 in the B1G and makes it a very real possibility that they only get to 7-11 in the conference. That would be dicey for them. Plus Northwestern winning helps us incrementally.

Minnesota vs Iowa - Minnesota is comfortably in at this point whereas Iowa can still make a run. Root for the Gophers, but this would have been much more interesting if Minnesota had lost at home to Wisconsin Thursday night. As it is, a loss here could put them at 6-9 after the next two, but their overall profile is strong enough that taking two of the final weak three (UPS, @ Neb, @ Pur). Right now they're Illinois with lesser wins but a better RPI.

That's about it for today.

Nice job Tubby!

Minnesota getting blown out at Iowa brings the Hawkeyes right around the bubble. Iowa has an interesting schedule to end the season. They go to Nebraska next, then Purdue home, at Indiana, then Illinois and Nebraska at home to end the season. Unless they win at Indiana they probably can't afford to lose any of the Nebraska/Purdue games. Even if they win all 3 of those they probably need to beat Illinois at home.

we are right on the bubble according to the dance card

http://www.unf.edu/~jcoleman/dance.htm

Rutgers could do us a B1G favor tonight and knock off Nova. I think that's it for bubble games tonight.

I agree, with the caveat that if 11-7 got us an ACCT bye then we could probably afford losing our first ACCT game and still get in, assuming that the loss would be to a 5 or 6 seed like NCST, UNC, or UVA.

I have a bad feeling about the Clemson game.

BC scares me. Clemson probably scares me the least of the next four games and is simply because we're home.

Theres no chance Indiana St gets in, right?

I think 10-8 with a win over UNC might be enough.

We'll finish 3-3 and will have to beat Duke in the 2nd round of the tournament to get back on the bubble.

6 more wins. 4 plus 2, 5 plus 1 or 6 plus 0.