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Bubble Watch!

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3 months ago

espn's BPI is pretty good...
http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/bpi
OregonTerp ●
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3 months ago

OregonTerp said...
espn's BPI is pretty good...
http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/bpi

Our problem isn't methodology.
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3 months ago

tecmoHOOperbowl said...
Why? It's already included in the RPI calculation. When you look at UVa's RPI, for instance, it's obvious that our SOS is terrible just because our RPI number is so low.
I feel like all OOC SOS does is lead to arguments like "Well, the RPI's are similar, but if you look at SOS, team A has played a harder schedule!"

The committee has said and demonstrated a bunch of times that (major-conference) teams who play really weak OOC schedules (high 200s or worse) get punished in selection and seeding. Whether that should happen, who knows, but it's definitely a relevant criteria for predictions.
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3 months ago via 247Sports Mobile

Right, but teams who have OOC SOS in the 200s are almost always going to have correspondingly high RPIs. The only way to lower their RPI to a solid ranking would be to pretty much destroy your conference, in which case you're going to get a good seed anyway.
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3 months ago

Belmont is going to have to win the auto-bid after losing to Tennessee State.
Conference realignment, SoCon style: some actual news (Mercer, ETSU, and VMI?) and a little speculation http://wp.me/plDgR-1jv
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3 months ago via 247Sports Mobile

Temple loses at home to Duquense 84-83.
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3 months ago

Don't do this to yourselves.
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3 months ago

PaulUMD said...
Don't do this to yourselves.

Watch basketball?
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3 months ago

PaulUMD said...
Don't do this to yourselves.

This isn't about us until 8:15 on Saturday. At that time I will start loving this thread like it deserves to be loved.

This post was edited by BklynTerp on 2/14/2013 at 9:59 PM
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3 months ago

this is a WATER COOLER bubble thread
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3 months ago

BklynTerp said...
This isn't about us until 8:15 on Saturday. At that time I will start loving this thread like it deserves to be loved.
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3 months ago

screamin_jay said...
this is a WATER COOLER bubble thread

wrong!
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3 months ago

BklynTerp said...

Who should we be rooting for right now? Here are some games I think may include some bubble teams.
UGA vs. Ole Miss
San Diego St. vs. UNLV
Arizona St. vs. Colorado
Boise St. vs. New Mexico
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3 months ago

VAHooper3 said...
Who should we be rooting for right now? Here are some games I think may include some bubble teams.
UGA vs. Ole Miss San Diego St. vs. UNLV Arizona St. vs. Colorado Boise St. vs. New Mexico

UGA
SDST
Not sure
New Mexico
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3 months ago via 247Sports Mobile

jsh said...
UGA
SDST
Not sure
New Mexico

Colorado I think is in marginally better shape than ASU.
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3 months ago

Let's go 4-0 in the next few games. Then we can figure out how important UNC at home and UVA on the road are. My guess is that we get our hopes up as high as they have ever been and we get destroyed emotionally.
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3 months ago

neal990 said...
My guess is that we get our hopes up as high as they have ever been and we get destroyed emotionally.

Play
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3 months ago via 247Sports Mobile

neal990 said...
My guess is that we get our hopes up as high as they have ever been and we get destroyed emotionally.

None of that shit tonight!
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3 months ago via 247Sports Mobile

Does acc deserve 6 teams?
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3 months ago

Lunardi
Last four in:
Virginia
Arizona State
Villanova
California
First four out:
Kentucky
Temple
Indiana State
Maryland
"WE WANT MORE WE WANT MORE girl is providing the rallying cry for the 2013 O's." ~dh2k3
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3 months ago

JDawgBBall9 said...
Lunardi
Last four in: Virginia Arizona State Villanova California
First four out: Kentucky Temple Indiana State Maryland

I'll take this right now. you must win these next two or it destroys the Duke win.
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3 months ago

JDawgBBall9 said...
Lunardi
Last four in: Virginia Arizona State Villanova California
First four out: Kentucky Temple Indiana State Maryland

I don't typically like to engage in Lunardi's horseplay, but no, this is wrong.
Kentucky's best wins are Ole Miss and us, and in their one game without Noel, they were obliterated. That's how they'll be evaluated - without Noel - so at this moment in time, there is no way that they are on the cusp of getting in. Even barring that, they have no top 50 wins. Not ahead of us.
Temple has a few nice wins - Syracuse (w/ Southerland) on a neutral court and Saint Louis at home. But they've also lost to Duquesne, Canisius and Saint Bonaventure at home and have a 6-5 record in the A-10. A tie for 6th in the A-10 isn't getting you a bid. Not ahead of us.
Indiana State is 16-10. They did beat Ole Miss on a neutral court, and better yet beat Miami also in Hawaii, but that was without Reggie Johnson. But they're only 60th in the RPI, and have six sub-100 losses (five of them sub-150) and...they're not ahead of us.
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3 months ago

JDawgBBall9 said...
Lunardi
Last four in: Virginia Arizona State Villanova California
First four out: Kentucky Temple Indiana State Maryland

why is uva one of the last in with an rpi of 20 and, what 3rd place in acc? i get that watching them play is painful and they sucked 2 or 3 months ago but .....can't a team overcome a horrendous start?
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3 months ago

winterps said...
why is uva one of the last in with an rpi of 20 and, what 3rd place in acc? i get that watching them play is painful and they sucked 2 or 3 months ago but .....can't a team overcome a horrendous start?

Their RPI is 78. I think they're in as long as they don't drop any more clunkers but they're a very interesting team in terms of the bubble.
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3 months ago via 247Sports Mobile

jsh said...
Their RPI is 78. I think they're in as long as they don't drop any more clunkers but they're a very interesting team in terms of the bubble.

We're a perfect test-case to see if the committee cares more about good wins or terrible losses, since we have several of each.
Somehow stealing one of the Miami or Duke games would help quite a bit.
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