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No. There was a statistical analysis of baseball history, and the longest streak there should have been was something in the mid 30s.
What Dimaggio did was special.
Do you have a link that shows how 1/5000 was reached? I'd be curious to see the methodology.
5 AB in a night is a completely unreasonable assumption. I'd also think that pressure, intentional walks, and specialist relief pitchers would make the real chance a good bit lower than that, but who knows.
And of course something like 511 wins is completely unbreakable relative to Dimaggio's streak. I just don't think even money is an appropriate line for that streak in the next 60 years (or however long justerp's life expectancy is).
Is there a more overrated athlete than Johnny U?
Link? That makes no sense at all from a probability standpoint.
Cy Young...25 wins a year for 20 years doesn't break it
Back of the envelope calculation. I actually used five because I wanted to be generous (figuring it would be lower than that) so yeah, 4 is probably better.
Anyway at .330, that's an 87% chance of getting a hit in a given game. Then simple probability can give you the chance for doing that in 56 games in a row. Obviously there are a lot of assumptions to be factored in, including the ones you mentioned, but regardless the actual probabilistic chance of it happening is much higher than most would think.
Even if it's 1 in 5000 - there are exactly 32 hitters in the entire 100-plus-year history of baseball who batted .330 or over in their lifetime. The #1 active player is Pujols, and he's at .326.
In 1980, George Brett was basically in God mode all season, and he only got to 30. 56 is incredible.
Even 4 in a game is generous for all but lead-off hitters on good teams (at-bats, not PA, like you said).
Using your thought process but with 4 AB per game changes it to about 1 in 307,000 that the .330 hitter would get a hit in 56 straight games, and that doesn't address the added concerns I mentioned in my post earlier.
I drunkenly made an "X won't happen in my lifetime" bet not that long ago, not realizing that I could by definition never collect.
eamhokie94: Is your name Nazi in pig Latin?
Guys have .400 stretches over 2 months. Obviously if a guy is going to break a crazy streak he wont hit .330 during the stretch.
CY is obviously the answer, but I assume we are ignoring that. A lot of unbreakable records get broken when eras change. Maybe they change the mound, the bats, etc.. 300 wins is almost unreachable now. Then double it.
only defense in NFL history to allow 174 points in 20 games
(week 1 through superbowl)
Well yeah, that's awfully specific.
Bobby Bowden's 377 wins in FBS.
Joe Pa's vacated win count.
Most points scored by a team in the Olympics....
Congrats to the 2011 Suqueboard WPT Champion: Amyeg
What about Cy Young's career loss record?
what about Connie Mack's record for both wins & losses as a manager?
What about the career record for number of times you enabled child molestation set by Joe Pa at 1.
The number of child molesters he enabled is one, the number of times he enabled child molestation is a lot more than one.
What about johnny Vander meers consecutive no hitters? Anyone gonna throw 3 no nos in a row?
You can pretty much group together all baseball records from pre-WW2 times as cumulatively unbreakable. They're beyond ridiculous: 191RBI in a season, 59 wins by a pitcher, 680 innings pitched and 75 complete games in a season by the same pitcher, etc.
For more modern times, I'd put Jerry Rice's consecutive games with a catch streak up there. The likelihood of even playing 275 consecutive games as a receiver is unlikely, especially when taking a good hit may keep you out a game under the concussion rules.
The single season scoring records in hockey due to the changed nature of the game might never be broken, but are probably not the "most unbreakable" .. Gretzky had 92 in one season.. closest player this season was 60
This post has been edited 3 times, most recently by canadianpotato 20 months ago
I would say UCLA record for (real) consecutive wins....
But then I read that thread on premium.
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