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Illinois State vs Wichita State - The Shockers already have four Valley losses and their profile is rapidly weakening after a three game losing streak. A home loss to ISU would not be good for them.
Ilinois vs Northwestern - Ilinois has enough big wins that 8 or 9 conference wins probably does it for them. But they've already lost at home to Northwestern, and a loss here drops them to 5-8 in the B1G and makes it a very real possibility that they only get to 7-11 in the conference. That would be dicey for them. Plus Northwestern winning helps us incrementally.
Minnesota vs Iowa - Minnesota is comfortably in at this point whereas Iowa can still make a run. Root for the Gophers, but this would have been much more interesting if Minnesota had lost at home to Wisconsin Thursday night. As it is, a loss here could put them at 6-9 after the next two, but their overall profile is strong enough that taking two of the final weak three (UPS, @ Neb, @ Pur). Right now they're Illinois with lesser wins but a better RPI.
That's about it for today.
usc vs cal too, maybe?
Nice job Tubby!
Minnesota getting blown out at Iowa brings the Hawkeyes right around the bubble. Iowa has an interesting schedule to end the season. They go to Nebraska next, then Purdue home, at Indiana, then Illinois and Nebraska at home to end the season. Unless they win at Indiana they probably can't afford to lose any of the Nebraska/Purdue games. Even if they win all 3 of those they probably need to beat Illinois at home.
"I like fixing broken things" - Kevin Plank
Looks like it. I didn't realize they beat UCLA after the win at Arizona. No losses outside of the top 100, wins over UCLA, Oregon and @Arizona.
we are right on the bubble according to the dance card
Win the next 4, at least split @UVA and UNC, win our first game in the ACCT and I think we're in. That's no bad losses, wins over Duke, NCST and one of UNC/UVA. Even with our weak OOC schedule that should be enough.
Rutgers could do us a B1G favor tonight and knock off Nova. I think that's it for bubble games tonight.
I feel like 24-9(12-8) with wins over all 4 Carolina schools and our worst loss being FSU shouldn't even be bubble talk.
I agree, with the caveat that if 11-7 got us an ACCT bye then we could probably afford losing our first ACCT game and still get in, assuming that the loss would be to a 5 or 6 seed like NCST, UNC, or UVA.
11-7 with a win over UNC is going to get us a bye. NCSU would have to go 5-1 or UNC 4-0.
I have a bad feeling about the Clemson game.
Agreed...just can't have bad losses.
BC scares me. Clemson probably scares me the least of the next four games and is simply because we're home.
Theres no chance Indiana St gets in, right?
Clemson game? Hell I have a bad feeling about tomorrow night. Of all the games Clemson is at the bottom of my worry list.
I think 10-8 with a win over UNC might be enough.
Go away, KA!
If we do that, we cruise in.
We'll finish 3-3 and will have to beat Duke in the 2nd round of the tournament to get back on the bubble.
"Anyone who talks about Jordan Williams leaving knows nothing about basketball. Absolutely nothing" - Hogie 02/27/2011
Agreed. BC could be really tough. There will be no atmosphere and their roster is a lot like UVA with all of the shooters plus one decent garbage man big. Hanlon is really impressive as a freshman too.
6 more wins. 4 plus 2, 5 plus 1 or 6 plus 0.
6 more wins to get a six seed? 24-7 gets us way in.
Yes we need 6 wins. If we go 4-2 in our last 6 ACC games that would make us 22-9. Then go 2-1 in the ACC tourney to get to 24-10. Where do you get 24-7?
18-7 right now with 6 games left
If we could just get into the tournament, and avoid the bullshit Dayton round, that would just be super
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