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Conference Realignment Thread (Hopkins Seeks Conference)

  • PKP_313 said...

    http://www.forbes.com/sites/chrissmith/2012/06/04/the-accs-third-tier-rights-and-why-theyre-killing-the-conference/

    I read that this morning. I don't think it's a very good article at all, which is in keeping with Forbes' recent sports articles, which have been lame if not completely terrible.

    Just a few observations...

    But some of those comments also made it apparent that there is a fair amount of confusion regarding the details of the conference’s television rights, particularly third tier rights,

    This article does not alleviate any of that confusion, in my opinion.

    Look, the problem with all this $$$ comparison is that A) everyone has a different definition of what constitutes "third tier" rights, B) everyone has a different definition of "multimedia rights", and C) no league is going to tell you exactly how much money it's making. It might give you a number, but nobody knows if the figure is real. That includes the $20 million per year number for the Big XII he threw in the piece, which if I'm not mistaken is an assertion about a contract that not only hasn't been seen by the author, but one that hasn't even been signed yet.

    To quickly cover the basics: there are three tiers of media rights.

    Not necessarily. See: Big 10.

    The first and second tiers are generally controlled by the conferences, which sell them – either separately or combined – to national networks like ABC/ESPN, CBS and Fox.

    Also not necessarily true (well, he does say "generally", I guess), and here we have an effort to lump ESPN in with the networks. It's much more nuanced than that.

    He's also forgetting about BTN.

    the income from third tier live telecasts will be stunted without football or basketball games to help buoy the rights fees.

    I'm not sure what he's trying to say here. I suppose an argument could be made that a potential FSU Network would need a football game as bait, but that assumes that A) an FSU Network is realistic, and B) that a football game against Savannah State would be bait-worthy. If he's not talking about a school network, then I guess he's saying that the Savannah State game would be needed as part of a package deal to sell a few home baseball games. I don't buy that, and since he said "rights fees" I don't think that's what he meant anyway..

    George Pyne, President of IMG Sports and Entertainment, responded that, “The exposure the ACC gets via ESPN enhances the value of our rights. We are very happy with their agreement. The better the ACC does, the better we do.” IMG doesn’t foresee any negative impacts from the new deal, though the company would seem to have little to lose if one of its schools were to change conferences.

    My question to the author is this: if you are so confident that IMG College would have "little to lose" if FSU/Clemson/etc. changed leagues, why didn't you confirm that with the company prez while you had him on the phone? Come on.

    This post was edited by SandlapperSpike on 6/7/2012 at 6:58 PM

    Conference realignment, SoCon style: some actual news (Mercer, ETSU, and VMI?) and a little speculation http://wp.me/plDgR-1jv

    SandlapperSpike

  • I hope you didn't expect hard hitting journalism from this guy.

    BTW, is it just me or is Forbes' font messed up? Looks like I'm reading an article from the Del Boca Vista newsletter.

    attachment

    jsh

  • there hasn't been any hard-hitting, revealing journalism on the subject since this started. I also saw with my own two eyes last fall, on the ESPN bottom line "FSU and Clemson to join SEC". It's all hot garbage until it actually happens, then we all find out in rear view what was going on. Two weeks before the SEC expanded last fall, they said they were happy at 12.

    At least the article exposes the potential nepotism. My grand scheme question is, why are some of you so incredulous that Clemson/FSU/Miami/GT/etc could , Oh My, POSSIBLY entertain the idea of leaving? We've discussed the travel ad nauseum. You don't have to be on the plane. ECU does travels similarly on a shoestring. The B12 finances aren't at all clear, nor is the playoff picture.

    But it's like you're offended that FSU and Clemson could even entertain the idea of leaving. To an outsider looking in, it's like you're unhappy that two underperforming FB members, who are usually also-rans in basketball, might control how the dominoes fall for the rest of the league. If your cubicle mate gets an offer to move to management, do you insult him b/c the job is in the Midwest, and you'll be left with Earl, the 65 year old smelly guy?

    PKP_313

  • This article from the 2010 tv contract negotiations sheds more light on the Raycom relationship.

    History with ACC secures future for Raycom - SportsBusiness Daily | SportsBusiness Journal

    The survival of Raycom Sports hinged on its 31-year relationship with the ACC. As long as two years before it started negotiating with the conference in earnest, company executives acknowledged that keeping a piece of the ACCs business was the only way the small, regional TV syndicator and p

    www.sportsbusinessdaily.com

    Terpinator X

  • Devils0720 said...

    That's absurd. There were reps from other teams at the negotiations, is it really plausible that they allowed Swofford to negotiate a lower number than what was possible just to give Raycom a chance to still have ACC content?

    None whatsoever. In fact, it's more likely ESPN gave the ACC more money because they knew they could get money back from Raycom. In addition to the money Raycom would pay ESPN, there's a reduction in ESPN's overhead by not having to set up additional production for an ESPN regional network for the ACC.

    If ESPN bids it out to additional people as Raycom, the ACC doesn't get back more money. They only get more money if the ACC bids it out directly. Since the games are not Tier 3, but a part of Tier 2, ESPN would pay significantly less if they didn't get to control Tier 1 and Tier 2, whether they sub-lease out some games or not.

    Also, Fox was also willing to work with Raycom as well, so the Raycom preference didn't prevent Fox from bidding on the contract. In the end, I do believe exposure came into play, because ESPN guarantees national coverage via ESPN, ESPN2, and ESPNU. Regional Fox Sports Nets are no guarantee of coverage when you have to compete with local college football games, MLB, NBA, and NHL on the various networks.

    Note from the link above: Swofford was open with both ESPN and Fox about working with Raycom.

    "Swofford let the strongest bidders, ESPN and Fox, know that he wanted to include Raycom, which went into the talks as a partner to both networks, rather than trying to bid against their deeper pockets."

    This post was edited by ChrispyWF on 6/7/2012 at 7:45 PM

    ChrispyWF

  • how this can not make peoples' blood boil is beyond me:

    "The problem was that Raycom couldn’t compete financially with bigger national TV networks, like ESPN and Fox, who also wanted the ACC’s rights. So Raycom decided to rely on the deep, personal relationships it developed over its three-decade relationship with the conference.

    ESPN’s John Skipper recognized the power of those ties early in his talks with Commissioner John Swofford last spring.

    Skipper, ESPN’s executive vice president for content and a North Carolina graduate, recalled sitting with Swofford on the brick patio outside the stately Washington Duke Inn, just hours before tip-off of the Duke-North Carolina basketball game.

    Underneath the swaying pine trees, Skipper asked Swofford what ESPN could do to secure a deal.

    “It would be our preference,” Swofford told Skipper, “if ESPN could construct something that would keep us in business with Raycom.”

    “So we did,” Skipper said. "
    ---------------------------------------

    I must have missed the part where all of the member institutions collectively steered the ship to Raycom being included, as jsh suggests. It's a total conflict of interest. Handshake, good ol boy deals are OK when you're buying a used truck. Not when you have a fiduciary duty to 12 member institutions.

    This post was edited by PKP_313 on 6/7/2012 at 7:46 PM

    PKP_313

  • So it's better to have Raycom go bankrupt, ESPN set up a "new" ESPN regional made up largely of the same people who have been laid off by Raycom, with largely the same regional coverage on the same stations? And pay less for the same package because Raycom would no longer be paying them??

    It makes more sense for Raycom to bid on that. It makes ESPN have to lay out less money, which allowed ESPN to bid more money to the ACC.

    Just like Raycom was bidding knowing ESPN would pay them for games in the old contracts, ESPN bid knowing Raycom would pay them.

    This post was edited by ChrispyWF on 6/7/2012 at 7:49 PM

    ChrispyWF

  • ChrispyWF said...

    Note from the link above: Swofford was open with both ESPN and Fox about working with Raycom.

    "Swofford let the strongest bidders, ESPN and Fox, know that he wanted to include Raycom, which went into the talks as a partner to both networks, rather than trying to bid against their deeper pockets."

    So what? Swofford was clearly not open with all the member institutions, otherwise the ADs that are getting happy feet would have seen this coming miles away. ESPN and Fox know Raycom's financial position and relationship with the ACC. That they were included had no downside for the big networks.

    PKP_313

  • PKP_313 said...

    So what? Swofford was clearly not open with all the member institutions, otherwise the ADs that are getting happy feet would have seen this coming miles away. ESPN and Fox know Raycom's financial position and relationship with the ACC. That they were included had no downside for the big networks.

    And what is the downside to the ACC? Fox and ESPN could bid more for the contract knowing they could get money from Raycom and not have to increase production costs for a regional network. The regional coverage that was in place was maintained, and actually expanded from the previous regional network.

    And the Raycom package only broadcasts a handful of Tier 3 games. It's mostly Tier 2 games as the season progresses with extra exposure at no expense to the school for an early season Tier 3 game or two. 2 FCS games made it to Raycom in 2011. In 2012, it appears there are 3 in the first 3 weeks which is likely all there will be for the season.

    ChrispyWF

  • I'm not sure why anyone would go out of their way to keep Raycom in business. Before BTN we use to see Raycom do some of our stuff and it was low rent. From an outside perspective Swofford should be fired. He never should of been hired in the first place.

    ErnieMcCracken

  • ChrispyWF said...

    And what is the downside to the ACC? Fox and ESPN could bid more for the contract knowing they could get money from Raycom and not have to increase production costs for a regional network. The regional coverage that was in place was maintained, and actually expanded from the previous regional network.

    For the bottom third of the conference in football, there is no downside. For the 3 programs that are responsible for the lions' share of the new TV deal (which is 80% football per below), giving up third tier rights and playing a 9th ACC game are devastating. I don't know how it affects the middle, but suffice it to say the cash cows got milked and kicked in the ass.

    "Tigernet: Clemson Athletic Director Terry Don Phillips told me last week that perhaps as much of 80 percent of the new television deal involves football. Is that correct?

    JS: I think that's probably accurate. That's what the television executives would tell us. That's what our consultants would tell us. In today's world of television, it would be higher than (twenty years ago). It's 75 percent or 80 percent"

    PKP_313

  • Can you guys please just leave already?

    Tabe

  • PKP_313 said...

    For the bottom third of the conference in football, there is no downside. For the 3 programs that are responsible for the lions' share of the new TV deal (which is 80% football per below), giving up third tier rights and playing a 9th ACC game are devastating. I don't know how it affects the middle, but suffice it to say the cash cows got milked and kicked in the ass.

    "Tigernet: Clemson Athletic Director Terry Don Phillips told me last week that perhaps as much of 80 percent of the new television deal involves football. Is that correct?

    JS: I think that's probably accurate. That's what the television executives would tell us. That's what our consultants would tell us. In today's world of television, it would be higher than (twenty years ago). It's 75 percent or 80 percent"

    How much do you think Clemson playing Furman is worth? It's not much. You're unlikely to recoup the costs of producing it yourself and a program in the 24th-largest state isn't going to get an LHN contract. And you get more exposure via ESPN3 or Raycom or ESPNU than you would on SportsSouth or a PPV contract. If Clemson baseball is worth anything, you could sell those games under the current ACC contract.

    The vast majority of those Raycom games aren't going back to the schools in any conference; they are Tier 2 games that ESPN sublicenses. Texas has to bribe Fox to get more than an FCS game on LHN. The fact you think Raycom is taking money out of Clemson's pocket shows your lack of understanding of the majority of the games Raycom is sublicensing and your delusions about what an FCS game is worth.

    This post was edited by ChrispyWF on 6/7/2012 at 10:13 PM

    ChrispyWF

  • ChrispyWF said...

    How much do you think Clemson playing Furman is worth? It's not much.

    This seems so simple but yet NO ONE will even posit a guess at this. Everyone is so confident that tier 3 rights are lucrative, but they clam up when they're asked to put a number on it. Clemson is basically 10,000+ from selling out these 1-AA games every single year - where is the market to show that on TV?

    Tabe

  • PKP_313 said...

    If your cubicle mate gets an offer to move to management, do you insult him b/c the job is in the Midwest, and you'll be left with Earl, the 65 year old smelly guy?

    I think you do if Cubicle Cletus' definition of "management" is a new position at a company in the Midwest that almost filed for bankruptcy last year, lost 2 key longstanding employees and is dominated by an overbearing asshole of a boss and his shady underling.

    Oh, and Cubicle Cletus will be moving to this company with his boy, a fellow chronic underachiever at their old job, and they'll be working with seven morons with no prospects to move up and a mildly successful guy from Appalachia who everyone hates because he constantly brags about accomplishments that actually aren't that impressive.

    macterp

  • Pretend you're right about tier 3 value, although our BOT's take is that we'll take a loss specifically because of this move. NO, it's not game changing money. But he Big 12 guarantees their members rights to one FB game and 3-4 basketball games every year. Then, Olympic sports also come into the fold. Baseball would be a money maker for two programs in the ACC. Guess who they are.

    An equally big issue is the loss we take b/c the ass clowns in Greensboro are making us play a 9th conference game. UGA game was literally on the chopping block until a huge amount of fan uproar cause TD Phillips to reverse course:

    UGA: 83,000 people at $65
    Syracuse: 76,000 at $45
    ------------------------------------
    The delta is $1,975,000

    No, we're not playing UGA every year. But I think having Auburn, UGA, Ole Miss in a 5 year time frame shows our model for OOC scheduling. On a 3 game OOC schedule going forward, no team with a rivalry is going to schedule a big game. GT is not going to play UGA, Notre Dame and Savannah State OOC. FSU is not going to play UF, Oklahoma and Jacksonville State. Clemson is not going to play SC, UGA and Furman. The need for wins is such that you can't afford to play a big program with one less slot.

    If you don't step up and play these big games, or don't have a rivalry game against a big opponent, you aren't going to understand. Wake and UVA aren't going to feel CU/FSU's pain here. But the aforementioned $2M loss, in addition to the prospect of one less home cupcake for $1.5-2M every other year, is a gigantic loss.

    Again, people are flabbergasted that CU & FSU could even think of checking if the grass is greener. For $3-4M, plus a few hundred thou in tier 3 revenue, you'd be stupid not to take Swofford to task on this,

    PKP_313

  • Tabe said...

    This seems so simple but yet NO ONE will even posit a guess at this. Everyone is so confident that tier 3 rights are lucrative, but they clam up when they're asked to put a number on it. Clemson is basically 10,000+ from selling out these 1-AA games every single year - where is the market to show that on TV?

    One could argue that's specifically a reason to put it on TV. No one wants to drive 4 hours to see Furman, you're only going for the tailgate. But if it's on TV, I can't think of a single Clemson fan/alum who wouldn't consume it.

    PKP_313

  • The problem is that if you're whining about losing a good OOC game in favor of the 9th conference game, you haven't actually lost any home games (given that UGA, Auburn, etc. would be home and homes). So if you can't sell out for Syracuse or another conference game, that's on you. Get a better fanbase. Or go to the Big XII where they play a ... nine game conference schedule.

    Tabe

  • PKP_313 said...

    how this can not make peoples' blood boil is beyond me:

    "The problem was that Raycom couldn’t compete financially with bigger national TV networks, like ESPN and Fox, who also wanted the ACC’s rights. So Raycom decided to rely on the deep, personal relationships it developed over its three-decade relationship with the conference.

    ESPN’s John Skipper recognized the power of those ties early in his talks with Commissioner John Swofford last spring.

    Skipper, ESPN’s executive vice president for content and a North Carolina graduate, recalled sitting with Swofford on the brick patio outside the stately Washington Duke Inn, just hours before tip-off of the Duke-North Carolina basketball game.

    Underneath the swaying pine trees, Skipper asked Swofford what ESPN could do to secure a deal.

    “It would be our preference,” Swofford told Skipper, “if ESPN could construct something that would keep us in business with Raycom.”

    “So we did,” Skipper said. " ---------------------------------------

    I must have missed the part where all of the member institutions collectively steered the ship to Raycom being included, as jsh suggests. It's a total conflict of interest. Handshake, good ol boy deals are OK when you're buying a used truck. Not when you have a fiduciary duty to 12 member institutions.

    I won't say my blood's boiling but Dook's horns are growing a little shorter while North Cacalacky's are getting much longer. WTF, Swofford, at least try to hide the Carolina bias...

    sigman58

  • Again, you already have baseball rights. If you can't sell them now, they won't add much then.

    And if you're going to complain about not being able to schedule big games OOC, you don't get to complain about SOS issues. Clemson can easily solve any SOS issues with a SC, UGA, Furman OOC schedule and 9 ACC games. Attendance goes up (a complaint), SOS goes up (another complaint), which increases the ability to make the proposed playoff.

    BTW: the Big 12 is currently playing how many conference games? The Pac-12 is playing 9 conference games plus the Big Ten challenge series. Nick Saban is advocating 9 conference games for competitive balance and to prevent playing some old rivals twice every 12 years. You want to leave the ACC in the past, then complain when you are dragged into the future.

    ChrispyWF

  • Jim Young at the ACC Sports Journal has a good column on why the Raycom "scandal" doesn't amount to much.

    The Raycom Red Herring Jim Young

    http://www.accsports.com/blogs/jim-young/2012060712918/the-raycom-red-herring.php

    www.accsports.com

    ChrispyWF

  • Is Forbes trying to jump in on the Bleacher Report action? Because that's what the article a couple pages back looked like.

    gurgle

  • Spetman announces that FSU received more than it had expected from the ACC in conference distribution money. The Seminoles received $1.6 million more than the conference had originally told them. Were expecting about $14.1 million given in payouts on Dec. 1 (of last year) and June 1 (of this year). On June 1, the school received the additional money, totaling just short of $16 million for the year.

    This means, that previously reported $500,000 budget shortfall the athletic department had from this past school year’s budget cycle, has now been cleared. FSU is in the black for that budget. Spetman said there also should not be a budget shortfall, as previously reported, for the next budgetary cycle. The athletics budget is in the black.

    10:10 a.m. — Spetman asked about the reports about FSU’s supposed $2.4 million shortfall entering the 2012-13 budgetary cycle. He didn’t say the reports were false, just that they reported what was essentially incomplete information. Because the ACC was conservative on its payout, the athletics board hadn’t included the $1.6 million in its budget. So, a shortfall was reported based on the numbers that had been provided.

    10:22 a.m. — The board learns that Seminole Boosters have received approximately $20 million in funds for the Indoor Football Practice Facility. That’s not to say, however, that all of those funds are in the coffers right now. Those funds are all timed to come in at different times, according to one trustee member. But, the pledges have been made. They could go into a special investment fund that would have to be paid off at a particular time. Essentially, it sounds like the IPF is on solid schedule footing, for now.

    Live updates: Florida State’s board of trustees meet in Sarasota – Chopping Block – Seminoles Blog – Orlando Sentinel

    OrlandoSentinel.com Blog Chopping Block Seminoles Blog The latest news and analysis from Tallahassee about the Florida State Seminoles.

    blogs.orlandosentinel.com

    jsh

  • From the same blog:

    8:35 a.m. — Board of trustees chair Andy Haggard called meeting to order.

    8:36 a.m. — Andy Haggard leads trustees in performing the tomahawk chop for 10 minutes

    gurgle

  • PKP_313 said...

    UGA: 83,000 people at $65 Syracuse: 76,000 at $45 ------------------------------------ The delta is $1,975,000

    I feel bad that your 11,000 students who attend the Georgia game are having to pay $65 each for their tickets.....in addition to all the player families, athletic department guests, recruits.......

    Oh wait, you mean that 83,000 full-price ticket number isn't accurate??? But I trusted your numbers!!!

    uncaborefUNCx0