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Official Nov. 2 mid-term election races thread

  • Which sites will likely be the first to leak out exit poll numbers around 7-8?

    terps687

  • neal990 said...

    I'm going to come up with an election returns drinking game thread for me and my nerd friends to enjoy later, I'll post the final rules when I have them.

    In. I will be drinking heavily tonight. Obviously.

    News and notes:

    Exit polls are out in various states, but they are literally quarantined until 5:30, so anything that claims to be from exit polls are bunk if it's before 5:30.

    Rent is definitely too damn high.

    And The Onion wins the morning... http://onion.com/bjQmRH

    PaulUMD

  • Various pundit predictions:

    http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/126925-pundits-on-the-left-right-agree-gop-will-be-smiling-after-this-years-races

    PaulUMD

  • Probably not a good idea this late in the game.

    Carl Paladino, the Republican gubernatorial candidate in New York, cut short a television interview with CNN affiliate WCAX after the reporter repeatedly asked whether recent remarks he made about New York Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand are "sexist."

    sugarmag

  • sugarmag said...

    Probably not a good idea this late in the game.

    Carl Paladino, the Republican gubernatorial candidate in New York, cut short a television interview with CNN affiliate WCAX after the reporter repeatedly asked whether recent remarks he made about New York Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand are "sexist."

    That guy could cure cancer today and still lose by 20%.

    PaulUMD

  • Paul, tell me who to vote for.

    EricTerp

  • Sdog said...

    I really hope you take the time to learn the bigger picture with TARP - Freddie & Fannie, the Trillions in MBS on the Fed Balance sheet, near zero interest rates to the banks, POMO buying, drop in the value of the dollar, the Fed now expanding the balance sheet further to buy additional treasuries (a big ponzi circle jerk) etc.

    The administration preaching TARP is a success is complete distraction and obfuscation to the real costs.

    u know lotz of fanzy wordds. i is mpressed

    But since reading is fundamental, I'll spell it ouut for ya. I was responding to a poster who specifically said TARP was the source of anger driving this election, not the other interventions.

    RenegadeTerp

  • EricTerp said...

    Paul, tell me who to vote for.

    We disagree on basically everything. So, if I tell you, will you just vote the opposite??? lol

    PaulUMD

  • PaulUMD said...

    We disagree on basically everything. So, if I tell you, will you just vote the opposite??? lol

    Not necessarily. I'm only locked on the following:

    Ehrlich for Gov.
    Astle for District 30.
    State Question 1: Yes
    State Question 2: Yes
    State 3: Yes
    County A: Yes
    County B: No
    County C: Yes

    EricTerp

  • RenegadeTerp said...

    u know lotz of fanzy wordds. i is mpressed

    But since reading is fundamental, I'll spell it ouut for ya. I was responding to a poster who specifically said TARP was the source of anger driving this election, not the other interventions.

    Many people use "TARP" and "the bailouts" as a shorthand for all the financial interventions.

    MisterNiceGuy

  • Here in South Carolina, I'm going to predict that the Republicans win all nine statewide offices up for election (yes, we even elect our adjutant general), hold a senate seat (this is the Alvin Greene race), and win five of the six congressional districts for the first time, as I believe John Spratt will finally lose in his district. I wouldn't have said that a month ago.

    It's a one-party state again, much as it was until around 1980, only it's the other party now.

    Conference realignment, SoCon style: some actual news (Mercer, ETSU, and VMI?) and a little speculation http://wp.me/plDgR-1jv

    SandlapperSpike

  • Is anybody aware of a place where pretty much ALL races that are expected to be close (Governors, House, Senate, even Ballot Questions) are listed in one place? The Senate ones are pretty easy to keep track of, but once you start adding in the other ones it gets pretty unmanageable...

    MisterNiceGuy

  • EricTerp said...

    Not necessarily. I'm only locked on the following:

    Ehrlich for Gov. Astle for District 30. State Question 1: Yes State Question 2: Yes State 3: Yes County A: Yes County B: No County C: Yes

    Vote for Jarashow and Keissling for circuit court judges, and I would also vote for Kratovil. And against Michael Busch, though I usually write in a name instead of voting for whoever the Republican is.

    PaulUMD

  • 2 more polls out for WA-Sen.

    Fox - Murray +2
    PPP - Rossi +2

    Sooo....yeah....

    Well, I mean, that’s what it is. I doodoo and then listen to Katy Perry.

    dexterstjacques

  • All the crazy Senate races are out west. CO, NV, WA, AK could all be insanely close.

    PaulUMD

  • dexterstjacques said...

    2 more polls out for WA-Sen.

    Fox - Murray +2 PPP - Rossi +2

    Sooo....yeah....

    So wait...right wing fox news has the Dem up 2.......while the left wing PPP has the Pub up 2 points. Who would have thought???

    Washington will be the biggest cluster F is its that close....they do their ballots by MAIL. Could take more than two week to know who won Washington. Imagine if it somehow controls the balance of the Senate. What a !@#$@# show that would be.

    rthhokie92

  • PaulUMD said...

    All the crazy Senate races are out west. CO, NV, WA, AK could all be insanely close.

    Should make for some interesting television tonight. Remember, it took Franken 8 months to get seated. I have a feeling more than a few races are going to drag on well past the morning.

    This post was edited by Sdog on 11/2/2010 at 12:47 PM

    Sdog

  • Wait until they try counting ballots in Alaska, and whether they spelled "Murkowski" right, or they intended to spell it right, or the ink smeared, or [head exploding]

    PaulUMD

  • PaulUMD said...

    Wait until they try counting ballots in Alaska, and whether they spelled "Murkowski" right, or they intended to spell it right, or the ink smeared, or head exploding

    Looking forward to the daily coverage of a commission holding ballots up to the light examining them with their bifocals on.

    Sdog

  • WSJ blog:

    Coons Camp Expresses Turnout Worries

    Most polls have predicted that the closely watched Delaware Senate race between Democrat Chris Coons and Republican tea-party favorite Christine O’Donnell was going to be anything but close. One poll last week had Mr. Coons up by 10 points, while all the others gave him a far more comfortable margin.

    But Democrats in Delaware remain skittish.

    In a noon email alert to supporters, Coons campaign manager Christy Gleason said close monitoring of voter turnout in the state’s 41 representative districts showed “lower turnout in New Castle and Kent counties than we’re comfortable with.”

    To win, Mr. Coons will have to get heavy support from Democrats and independents in New Castle, the state’s most populous county. In the primary, Ms. O’Donnell drew heavy support from the state’s other two counties, Kent and Sussex, which skew more to the right.

    frode

  • Yeah there's a zero percent chance Alaska is sorted out tonight. I'll bet there's at least one more Senate race that goes to the courts and probably a handful of house races.

    neal990

  • Here's my tentative list of drinking game rules so far, tailored to watching on CNN:

    Drink:
    -"too close to call"
    -a race is called
    -that crazy interactive map
    -sour grapes from a democrat
    -"tea party"
    -anderson cooper
    -"1994"

    chug:
    -a tweet is read/a serious journalist uses the word "tweet"
    -"tidal wave"
    -sour grapes from a democrat who mentions Citizens United or the word "shadowy"
    -totally useless and over the top technology, like that cnn hologram interviewer
    -A republican uses "change we can believe in" or another Obama slogan in an attempt to be clever

    finish a beer:
    -Obama resigns
    -Christine O'Donnell wins
    -GOP wins the Senate

    neal990

  • Very low turnout in Downtown Silver Spring at lunch. It would not surprise me if Ehrlich made this thing interesting tonight.

    peqturtle

  • Neal, I'd make sure you've got a good life insurance policy in place before attempting this game. Your only hope is that CNN just leaves the interactive map up the entire time so it only counts as one drinking incident.

    tecmoHOOperbowl

  • frode said...

    WSJ blog:

    Coons Camp Expresses Turnout Worries

    Most polls have predicted that the closely watched Delaware Senate race between Democrat Chris Coons and Republican tea-party favorite Christine O’Donnell was going to be anything but close. One poll last week had Mr. Coons up by 10 points, while all the others gave him a far more comfortable margin.

    But Democrats in Delaware remain skittish.

    In a noon email alert to supporters, Coons campaign manager Christy Gleason said close monitoring of voter turnout in the state’s 41 representative districts showed “lower turnout in New Castle and Kent counties than we’re comfortable with.”

    To win, Mr. Coons will have to get heavy support from Democrats and independents in New Castle, the state’s most populous county. In the primary, Ms. O’Donnell drew heavy support from the state’s other two counties, Kent and Sussex, which skew more to the right.

    They're all still asleep tongue

    wcterp