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Indecision 2012 - Stage of Grief: Acceptance (Northeast 4/24)

  • redraven1 said...

    And how does anything u say negate what I said that Ron Paul regularly polls the best against Obama among the gop hopefuls.

    Because we are all pretending that this bunch of chumps will actually beat O'Bamma. This election will go down like the Dukakis Bush one, except this time the Mass Gov. is on the Pub side. Only question is if Mitten's loss will prevent the Pubs from taking the Senate.

    This post has been edited 2 times, most recently by alexander2 on 12/27/2011 at 4:11 PM

    attachment

    MARYLAND. The area they’re now calling the DMV—D.C./Maryland/Northern Virginia—might be the country’s richest talent mine.

    alexander2

  • JemoTerp said...

    Was there a discussion of the Virginia ballot situation on the last thread? Newt and Perry didn't make it, and there is no write-in option in VA. Mittens and Paul are the only ones on the ballot.

    Briefly. Consensus was that anyone who can't put together a campaign to even make it on the ballot probably isn't someone who can put together a team to run the country effectively.

    terps99

  • There are plenty of Obama vs Paul polls under 10% and the generic Republican usually is beating Obama, so basically no matter who wins even if someone like Bachmann a large majority of Republicans would get behind them vs Obama and it would be a dead heat

    jt082005

  • terps99 said...

    Briefly. Consensus was that anyone who can't put together a campaign to even make it on the ballot probably isn't someone who can put together a team to run the country effectively.

    Paul might be a chump, but what does that make Newt and Perry ?

    MARYLAND. The area they’re now calling the DMV—D.C./Maryland/Northern Virginia—might be the country’s richest talent mine.

    alexander2

  • alexander2 said...

    Paul might be a chump, but what does that make Newt and Perry ?

    Worse.

    terps99

  • Also should throw in there were swing state polls like Iowa where Paul was tied with Obama or NH where he was down 2....same thing as what I just posted it will be close no matter who really

    I'm not really a big Paul fan either but I'm not against him being the candidate. I look at it more or less the country needs someone with some balls to make cuts that have to be done soon and he may be the only one willing to. I generally think 75% of what he says is great but 25% is blah....but in the end when Europe is crashing and plenty of other countries around the world seem to be fighting to be the next to tank we need someone to make the cuts Obama would never do, Bush didn't, and would be iffy on a Romney doing (I see him making minimal cuts)

    jt082005

  • jt082005 said...

    I'm not really a big Paul fan either but I'm not against him being the candidate. I look at it more or less the country needs someone with some balls to make cuts that have to be done soon and he may be the only one willing to. I generally think 75% of what he says is great but 25% is blah....but in the end when Europe is crashing and plenty of other countries around the world seem to be fighting to be the next to tank we need someone to make the cuts Obama would never do, Bush didn't, and would be iffy on a Romney doing (I see him making minimal cuts)

    Except that (1) the Presidential line-item veto has been ruled unconstitutional, (2) the legislative branch, not the executive branch, makes cuts in spending, and (3) Paul has been a member of the legislative branch for decades and had 0 success in convincing anyone to do much of anything, let alone make drastic cuts in spending.

    I'm not sure why everyone just suspends political reality when talking about a Paul presidency. I'm pretty sure Paul making the drastic cuts he talks about is even more unrealistic, political speaking, than Paul somehow managing to get elected.

    terps99

  • terps99 said...

    Worse.

    I am beginning to have some real empathy with Lincoln. Just in the East he was stuck with:

    1) Fremont - W Va/Valley Army
    2) McDowell - Army of the Potomac (AoP)
    3) McClellan - AoP
    4) Pope - Army of Virginia (disbanded after Bull Run 2)
    5) McClellan - AoP 2nd time
    6) Burnside - AoP
    7) Hooker - AoP
    8) Butler - Army of the James

    MARYLAND. The area they’re now calling the DMV—D.C./Maryland/Northern Virginia—might be the country’s richest talent mine.

    alexander2

  • The real story here will be when Paul runs as a third party candidate. He's being mighty coy about the possibility now when in the past he's flatly denied it. Romney winning would probably be the most likely scenario we see a challenge from the right.

    PaulUMD

  • PaulUMD said...

    Romney winning would probably be the most likely scenario we see a challenge from the right.

    What? I assume I'm misunderstanding something here, because a 3rd party challenge from Paul would kill the GOP candidate, whoever that was.

    This post was edited by terps99 on 12/27/2011 at 4:41 PM

    terps99

  • terps99 said...

    Except that (1) the Presidential line-item veto has been ruled unconstitutional, (2) the legislative branch, not the executive branch, makes cuts in spending, and (3) Paul has been a member of the legislative branch for decades and had 0 success in convincing anyone to do much of anything, let alone make drastic cuts in spending.

    I'm not sure why everyone just suspends political reality when talking about a Paul presidency. I'm pretty sure Paul making the drastic cuts he talks about is even more unrealistic, political speaking, than Paul somehow managing to get elected.

    He would pull us out of the current Wars and he could order the Justice Dept to start prosecutions of people involved in the Bankster frauds and the guns for the cartels deal. He could order the Justice Dept to investigate the Fed and look into the enormous ripoffs and insider deals at DoD and other security agencies that are "national security related". I assume he would remove the military from running most of the Security agencies and force a real review of the defense needs of the country vs a high tech wish list for the contractors.

    Other than that its hard to see what he could really do. Any cuts he made on defense would be restored by congress.

    One change he could order is for the Bureau of Labor statistics and Department of Commerce to publish the real inflation and employment numbers using the methodologies of the early 70s so that the numbers can be compared to previous years. Reagan, Bush 1 & 2, Clinton and the current gang have changed the formulas multiple times in an attempt to hide the job losses and the inflation rate over the last 30 years.

    "GDI Indicates No U.S. Economic Growth in Either Second- or Third-Quarter 2011"

    This post has been edited 2 times, most recently by alexander2 on 12/27/2011 at 5:04 PM

    Shadow Government Statistics : Home Page

    http://www.shadowstats.com/

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    Series Master Introduction

    http://www.shadowstats.com/article/primers_intro

    www.shadowstats.com

    MARYLAND. The area they’re now calling the DMV—D.C./Maryland/Northern Virginia—might be the country’s richest talent mine.

    alexander2

  • jt082005 said...

    There are plenty of Obama vs Paul polls under 10% and the generic Republican usually is beating Obama, so basically no matter who wins even if someone like Bachmann a large majority of Republicans would get behind them vs Obama and it would be a dead heat

    Generic candidate always looks better than actual candidate. Once the Pubs pick someone, expect their numbers to drop dramatically after the media ravages them and Obama's campaign tears them to shreds without getting any blood on O.

    http://www.ghitp.wordpress.com/

    JManslow

  • LOL @ all of you dopes actually engaging Coltsfan.

    bkmalik

  • terps99 said...

    What? I assume I'm misunderstanding something here, because a 3rd party challenge from Paul would kill the GOP candidate, whoever that was.

    Of course it would. And Romney winning the Pub nomination would make a Paul Indy run more likely than someone more conservative.

    There are two holes for an Indy candidate to run from this cycle. If GOP nominates a someone like Romney or Huntsman, there's room on the right for a challenge. If they nominate a Perry or Bachmann or Gingrich, there's room in the center for a challenge. The first scenario would kill Romney, the second would kill Obama.

    PaulUMD

  • A bit off the main topic, but Ben Nelson announcing he will not run again makes it even tougher for the Dems to keep the Senate.

    Sdog

  • So much for Gingrich's whole "I won't attack other Republicans" mantra...

    Gingrich wouldn't vote for Ron Paul

    (CNN) -- Newt Gingrich said Tuesday he wouldn't vote for Ron Paul if the Texas congressman won the 2012 GOP nomination. Speaking to CNN's Wolf Blitzer, Gingrich slammed Paul as out of line with mainstream Republican viewpoints, including his stance on Israel, Iran, and September 11.

    politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com

    terps99

  • terps99 said...

    So much for Gingrich's whole "I won't attack other Republicans" mantra...

    Paul's problem will ultimately come down to his foreign policy stance. On the face of it, people like the idea of not getting involved in wars and nation building.

    The problem crops up with a hypothetical of Iran blocking the Straits of Hormuz. Paul will say if we stay out of Iran's business, they won't do that. The issue is, what if they did? He has no answer other than a laissez faire approach. People can't get comfortable envisioning the leader of the free world putting their head in the sand on this, or the idea that he would not have intervened with Hitler. I know a lot of conservatives/libertarians who like a lot of what Paul has to offer, but this is the deal killer.

    If we were voting strictly on Fed policy, I would take Paul all day. Unfortunately it is one piece of a very big puzzle.

    Sdog

  • terps99 said...

    So much for Gingrich's whole "I won't attack other Republicans" mantra...

    Paul's two anti-Gingrich ads ripped him apart. Also any Paul bankster investigation might lead to Newt having to give $ back.

    funny quote from the Paul campaign:

    "Frustration from his floundering campaign has Newt Gingrich showing who he really is: a divisive, big-government liberal," Paul Campaign Chairman Jesse Benton said. "Newt has a long record of standing against conservatives dating back to his support for liberal Nelson Rockefeller over Barry Goldwater, so this sort of childish outburst is nothing new."

    This post has been edited 2 times, most recently by alexander2 on 12/27/2011 at 6:59 PM

    Why the Establishment is Terrified of Ron Paul » Counterpunch: Tells the Facts, Names the Names

    Why the Establishment is Terrified of Ron Paul

    www.counterpunch.org

    MARYLAND. The area they’re now calling the DMV—D.C./Maryland/Northern Virginia—might be the country’s richest talent mine.

    alexander2

  • Sdog said...
    People can't get comfortable envisioning the leader of the free world putting their head in the sand on this, or the idea that he would not have intervened with Hitler.

    Ron Paul doesn't want to be the leader of the free world, he wants to be the President of the United States.

    The question that's going to be answered in this election is whether that's a distinction that can be made at this point in history.

    A.B.E.

    historicus

  • historicus said...

    Ron Paul doesn't want to be the leader of the free world, he wants to be the President of the United States.

    The question that's going to be answered in this election is whether that's a distinction that can be made at this point in history.

    You can't be one without being the other at this point in history. The next time the President of the United States isn't the de facto leader of the free world is when the United States isn't the leading country in the world.

    terps99

  • Sdog said...People can't get comfortable envisioning the leader of the free world putting their head in the sand on this, or the idea that he would not have intervened with Hitler.

    FDR didn't intervene with Hitler until after Germany declared war on the US following Pearl Harbor. Its not like the US had a choice after that. Most in the US hoped that Hitler (30 million killed) and Stalin (50 Million killed) would wipe each other out.

    This post was edited by alexander2 on 12/27/2011 at 7:59 PM

    MARYLAND. The area they’re now calling the DMV—D.C./Maryland/Northern Virginia—might be the country’s richest talent mine.

    alexander2

  • Yes, but I'd like to think that if someone was overrunning Europe tomorrow and killing a few million people along the way, we wouldn't wait for a few years until that person also declared war on us before doing something. I'm not sure our response time to Hitler is exactly the greatest moment in US history.

    terps99

  • terps99 said...

    Yes, but I'd like to think that if someone was overrunning Europe tomorrow and killing a few million people along the way, we wouldn't wait for a few years until that person also declared war on us before doing something. I'm not sure our response time to Hitler is exactly the greatest moment in US history.

    When did you want the US to intervine ? From September 1939 until June 1941 Hitler and Stalin were allies and had crushed 7 countries between them.

    MARYLAND. The area they’re now calling the DMV—D.C./Maryland/Northern Virginia—might be the country’s richest talent mine.

    alexander2

  • Well, I don't want to turn this into a WWII thread, and I'm not sure there is a right or wrong answer to your question, but I think Ron Paul would make Neville Chamberlain appear like a war-hawk.

    "How horrible, fantastic, incredible it is that we should be digging trenches and trying on gas-masks because of a quarrel in a far-away country between people of whom we know nothing."

    - Statements like that are as likely to have been said by Chamberlain about Germany's invasion of the Sudetenland as said by Ron Paul about Iraq's invasion of Kuwait.

    terps99

  • terps99 said...

    Well, I don't want to turn this into a WWII thread, and I'm not sure there is a right or wrong answer to your question, but I think Ron Paul would make Neville Chamberlain appear like a war-hawk.

    "How horrible, fantastic, incredible it is that we should be digging trenches and trying on gas-masks because of a quarrel in a far-away country between people of whom we know nothing."

    - Statements like that are as likely to have been said by Chamberlain about Germany's invasion of the Sudetenland as said by Ron Paul about Iraq's invasion of Kuwait.

    So you are saying Ron Paul sounded like April Glaspie, US Ambassador to Iraq who :

    In an extraordinary interview with the Iraqi leader on July 25, 1990, she told Hussein, "I have a direct instruction from the President to seek better relations with Iraq." She also stated that the United States had "no opinion" on inter-Arab disagreements, including Baghdad's border dispute with Kuwait. Hussein, who no doubt was pleased by Glaspie's subservient manner, probably found this sufficient diplomatic inference to conclude that officials at the highest levels in Washington would not object strenuously to an Iraqi takeover of Kuwait (or, at least, some portion thereof ) .
    In the aftermath of the Iraqi invasion, Glaspie's statements were much criticized in Congress. She was, however, merely articulating the prevailing White House view.

    This post was edited by alexander2 on 12/27/2011 at 8:45 PM

    MARYLAND. The area they’re now calling the DMV—D.C./Maryland/Northern Virginia—might be the country’s richest talent mine.

    alexander2