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2013 VA Gov, 2014 midterms, 2016 presidential...whatever you want.
None of the above?
Posted this in the sequester thread re 2016:
I think O'Malley will run even if Hillary runs. I doubt there will be other big names if she runs though.
If she doesn't run you might see Biden? Gillibrand? Schweitzer? Cuomo? Hickenlooper?
I think that's a decent take of the Dem bench, but Paul would know better.
Go away, KA!
I really think MOM bows out early when he sees the reality of Hillary and Cuomo, and whore himself out to a frontrunner.
This post was edited by frode 13 months ago
If Hillary has another medical issue she has to be out, right?
Oh and the candidates for the VA governor this year are unfathomably bad. Two wretched, wretched candidates.
Agreed. McAuliffe is basically everything wrong with politics. The Republican guy is a nut.
I hope that other Republican runs 3rd party.
I think O'Malley runs no matter what, and if he loses to Hillary at least he got his name out there. He won't have a job soon so nothing to lose, sets himself up to be Babs' or Cardin's replacement, etc.
Hillary's opponents will not be the people she runs against but age and dynasty issues. Her policy and debate chops are great, she's a much improved speaker from 2008 and she'll start out as by far the most liked/loved Dem in the race. I don't think another Obama can emerge to overtake her this time if she runs, which I'm not quite sure about yet.
Cuomo is a wild card to me. Great policy successes but an underwhelming speaker (he ain't his daddy) and I don't know if he has the drive to run this time. He's also the type who liberals see as too conservative on some issues and conservatives see as the liberal devil. That can be good when you're nominated but bad while trying to get there.
Schwietzer likely to primary Baucus, which would be awesome. Hickenlooper has a great record to run on but his name is Hickenlooper. Gillibrand is intriguing, and I bet she gives it some thought it Hillary doesn't run. She has rural chops, very smart, could raise a ton of money, pretty attractive, young, etc. I think she's got the goods to be on a ticket one day, whether it's 2016 or later.
And I still think Biden would be formidable if he runs, depending on Obama's approval in 3 years. Everyone focuses on the gaffes, but there are so many it's baked in. But he's such an underrated campaigner, and if he can get some of those "Scranton whites" to come along with the Obama coalition, look out. He probably can't beat Hillary but he'd be a good second choice. Also old and may need to make a one term pledge or have a young but ready successor as VP. Lots of variables for him but silly to write him off.
Also, LOL Virginia. That's the best you can do? McAuliffe and Cuccinelli? Just slide off into the ocean now while you can.
With the exception of the bi-annual stupid legislation (personhood, trying to pass massive legislation when one Democratic state senator is out of town), Virginia politics are pretty much set on auto-pilot*.
*This was my way of thought until McAuliffe, Cuccinelli, and Tareq Salahi (lol?) decided to run.
If Hillary runs, I think her vs O'Malley will basically be like Gore vs Bradley in 2000. A walkover.
The GOP fight should be bruising and lengthy. Christie, Ryan, Rubio, and Rand Paul all look likely to run and have formidable campaigns. Santorum will probably run, but that isn't happening. I don't think Jeb Bush will run, if he does he might get some traction, but his name is too big of an impediment I think. Jindal could run, but I don't think he can match up with the big 4. Same thing with someone like Rob Portman. I don't think Scott Walker is viable nationally with his stance on abortion (against even in cases of rape/incest). If Condi runs (which I don't think she will) she could gain traction.
Gun to my head now I'd pick Christie for the simple reason that he'd be the most likely to win the general and for all the talk about the radical right wing of the GOP, they tend to nominate the guy who will fair best in the general. I think that will go double in 2016, when they will be desparate to win after 8 years of Obama.
This post was edited by terps687 13 months ago
lolol Rand Paul. He's so far out of the mainstream it's ridiculous, not to mention that he's functionally retarded. He's next cycle's Santorum.
Christie and Rubio are the two real Republican candidates at the moment. Ryan's brand equity has taken a pretty big hit in the last year, and JIndal doesn't have it in him. Walker and Portman might peak their heads out, but I don't think either will be there when it is time to get serious.
NYCTerp05: i guarantee you my child won't turn out gay
McAulliffe is just LOL bad. Cucc is backwards socially, but is at least somewhat capable on the fiscal issues. Lesser of two evils.
It seemed like VA dems were making inroads too. Tim Kaine was a good governor, and they had done well in the presidential races. I don't know why they decided to squat down and lay a turd for 2013.
No bench at all.
Pretty sure Santorum is next cycle's Santorum.
Just keep your eye out for Cory Booker trying to pull an Obama. He's going after Lautenberg's Senate seat, and I would not be surprised if he gets catapulted into the political stratosphere.
This post was edited by Terp02 13 months ago
"The drummer for Maryland's pep band just freaked out: 'They're trying to slow the game down,' he screamed. 'Get up on them, get up on them.
I think this is absolutely a factor if Hillary doesn't run,but I don't think he'd challenge her. He's going to roll in the Senate election though.
As far as wildcards, I wouldnt totally rule out Deval Patrick throwing his hat in the ring for the Dems as well.
Booker doesn't have the keynote at last year's convention that Obama had in 04. That was a huge deal in getting him on the map. He'd also have been in the Senate 2 fewer years than Obama as well.
You basically have to announce Summer 2015 if you are going to run. He'd have been in the Senate a whopping 6-8 months at that point.
This post has been edited 2 times, most recently by terps687 13 months ago
Good point. Still, I can't see him not running for POTUS at some point. He should be running against Christie for Gov. this year, but I guess with Christie's recent approval spike, he doesn't want to chance losing any political ground.
Wanting to cut military spending, wanting to abolish the TSA, being against spying on Americans, being for due process, being against the patriot act, being for drug legalization now makes you functionally retarded in today's politics.
This post was edited by TeamReimold 13 months ago
Oh there goes crazy Rand Paul talking about not killing American citizens without due process
If he runs he most likely has my vote.
O'Malley will run but get his ass kicked. Even the Washington Post poll had him only getting like 7% of Marylanders to support him
No big surprise here...I just think she's running straight for a big, embarrassing buzzsaw.
Ashley Judd has yet to officially announce her political aspirations,
but a source with intimate knowledge of the situation tells FOX411's Pop
Tarts column the actress is preparing herself to chall
Like I said in the other thread, Judd will be a hilarious self-parody until some Kentucky good ol' boy gop county commissioner makes some sexist/offensive remark about her and then she'll become the biggest victim the nation has ever seen.
Al Franken is an intelligent guy. Ashley Judd is one of those people who thinks that because she can speak properly it means she is intelligent. She is a moron. If everyone can avoid making Todd Akin-esque comments then she will be a goldmine of entertainment.
Judd isn't running, this is a side show. Surprised at the ferocity of the oppo dump though, I can't believe they're really all that scared by her. Must be.
Anyway, this is a fantastic long read on the problems Gallup had this election cycle, and what it means for public polling. Worth your while if you follow polls like many of us do.
WASHINGTON -- Gallup, which has long touted itself as the most trusted survey brand in the world, is facing a crisis. If Barack Obamas victory in the face of skeptical pundits, it was a black mark for Gallup, whose polls leading up to Election Day had given the edge to Republican nominee Mitt Romney.
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